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This is the first in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2018 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. Why forecast housing? To help clients assess how local timber markets or wood baskets perform, more…
Time is a distinguishing characteristic of investing in forests versus other assets. Buying and planting tree seedlings for financial gain comes with an implied commitment. While the building you buy generates rental income next month, and the row crop you more…
What is a tree worth? For investors and forest owners, the value of a tree is determined by the returns on the capital committed to owning, growing and marketing the tree. In forestry, financial analysis supports our efforts to estimate more…
Visitor traffic on the Forisk Blog increased 38% in 2017 over 2016. Thank you! Here are the top five posts from 2017: Forest Finance: What Does a Negative or Zero NPV Say About My Potential Timberland Investment? Again number one, more…
Our previous blog on the uniqueness of individual timber markets and wood baskets generated questions and follow-ups on the tyranny of regional averages and the challenge of localizing price forecasts. In our world, there is no such thing as an more…
In the book “The End of Average,” author Todd Rose talks about the “tyranny of the average.” For any group of people, we can estimate an average height and average weight and average test score, and all of this leads more…
This is the fifth in a series related to Forisk’s Q4 2017 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. Institutional Investor recently published a bizarre article claiming that timberland investments are well positioned for a “comeback.” Comeback more…
This is the first in a series related to Forisk’s Q4 2017 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. Fear has no place in evaluating a forecast. What are we scared of? That the more…
Professor Richard Thaler won this year’s Nobel Prize for Economics, in part, for research confirming that we (humans) believe we are smarter and more rational than we actually are. Asked how he plans to spend the $1.1 million prize money, Thaler more…
This post includes excerpts from previous research published by Forisk and summarizes comments we delivered at the Who Will Own the Forest? Conference in Portland, Oregon on September 13, 2017. Decades of “nightly news” exposure to investment indices such as more…